Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Dumbarton
29.0%
Draw
50.6%
Stranraer
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Dumbarton
vs
1.62
Stranraer
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).