Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Mantova
29.1%
Draw
31.1%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Mantova
vs
1.18
Spezia
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).