Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Gateshead
25.1%
Draw
43.6%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Gateshead
vs
1.72
Sutton
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).