Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Oxford
25.9%
Draw
54.9%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Oxford
vs
1.67
Coventry
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).