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AHT: 12CSV

09 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.3%
Peterboro
22.3%
Draw
26.4%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Peterboro

vs
1.12

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).