Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Lazio
29.1%
Draw
31.5%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Lazio
vs
0.99
Bologna
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).