Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Girona
24.7%
Draw
25.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Girona
vs
1.15
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).