Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Bordeaux
19.8%
Draw
19.2%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Bordeaux
vs
0.99
Caen
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).