Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.4%
Arouca
12.2%
Draw
82.4%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Arouca
vs
2.96
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
0-3
11.2%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-1
5.7%
1-4
5.7%
0-5
4.9%
1-5
3.4%
0-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).