Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Cadiz
29.7%
Draw
26.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Cadiz
vs
0.85
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).