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AHT: 02CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.8%
Shrewsbury
23.7%
Draw
46.5%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Shrewsbury

vs
1.49

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).