Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Nice
21.7%
Draw
20.8%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Nice
vs
0.98
Nantes
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).