Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Getafe
25.0%
Draw
57.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Getafe
vs
1.63
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).