Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.8%
Sassuolo
14.6%
Draw
6.6%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Sassuolo
vs
0.70
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.0%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).