⚽ FootballData
0 – 3
AHT: 01CSV

19 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.6%
Concarneau
25.6%
Draw
40.8%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Concarneau

vs
1.26

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).