Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Como
20.5%
Draw
14.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Como
vs
0.79
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).