Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Colchester
26.1%
Draw
29.4%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Colchester
vs
1.04
Salford
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).