Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Gil Vicente
28.7%
Draw
19.0%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Gil Vicente
vs
0.75
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).