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07 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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88.3%
Club Brugge
8.5%
Draw
3.3%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

3.40

Club Brugge

vs
0.61

Seraing

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
4.0%
3-2
2.2%
0-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).