Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
QPR
25.2%
Draw
37.6%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
QPR
vs
1.58
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).