Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Lugo
28.0%
Draw
57.1%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Lugo
vs
1.35
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.6%
0-0
15.0%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.2%
0-4
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).