Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.9%
Rio Ave
20.0%
Draw
68.1%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Rio Ave
vs
2.19
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).