Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Rennes
19.9%
Draw
36.1%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Rennes
vs
1.87
Marseille
Markets
BTTS73.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).