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AHT: 01CSV

04 Apr 2021 · 16:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Nimes
21.7%
Draw
30.1%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Nimes

vs
1.47

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.3%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).