Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Leeds
22.9%
Draw
17.4%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Leeds
vs
0.97
Coventry
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).