Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Leverkusen
23.0%
Draw
15.2%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Leverkusen
vs
0.85
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).