Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Krasnodar
20.3%
Draw
13.1%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Krasnodar
vs
0.95
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).