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25 Oct 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Clermont
24.9%
Draw
29.5%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Clermont

vs
1.05

Martigues

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).