Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Empoli
26.8%
Draw
27.7%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Empoli
vs
1.22
Crotone
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).