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AHT: 01CSV

01 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Pescara
27.3%
Draw
35.4%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Pescara

vs
1.41

Trapani

Markets

BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).