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DHT: 00CSV

18 Mar 2017

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.7%
East Fife
24.6%
Draw
59.7%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

East Fife

vs
1.75

Alloa

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).