Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →96.3%
Bayern Munich
2.6%
Draw
1.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
5.76
Bayern Munich
vs
0.92
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.599.1%
Over 2.596.1%
Over 3.589.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
6.9%
5-1
6.3%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
5-2
2.9%
4-2
2.5%
2-0
2.2%
2-1
2.0%
3-2
1.8%
2-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).