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DHT: 00

09 Nov 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Mechelen
27.4%
Draw
57.1%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63

Mechelen

vs
1.47

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS36.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.5%
0-2
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).