Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.5%
Reading
10.7%
Draw
80.9%
Harborough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Reading
vs
3.53
Harborough Town
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.8%
Over 3.569.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.8%
1-4
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-4
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-5
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
0-5
4.1%
2-4
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).