Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Valladolid
21.3%
Draw
60.9%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Valladolid
vs
2.07
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).