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01 Mar 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.0%
Inter
20.6%
Draw
66.4%
St. Gallen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Inter

vs
2.40

St. Gallen

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).