Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Pisa
17.5%
Draw
8.2%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Pisa
vs
0.69
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
3.0%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).