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07 May 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.5%
Venezia
11.5%
Draw
4.0%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.95

Venezia

vs
0.57

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-0
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
5.5%
1-1
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).