Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Fulham
27.0%
Draw
47.7%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Fulham
vs
1.70
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).