Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Hartlepool
29.5%
Draw
27.8%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Hartlepool
vs
1.04
Sutton
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).