Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Bromley
19.4%
Draw
15.5%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Bromley
vs
0.88
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).