Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Las Palmas
32.9%
Draw
17.6%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Las Palmas
vs
0.52
Leganes
Markets
BTTS26.6%
Over 0.579.9%
Over 1.547.4%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.57.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.0%
0-0
20.1%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).