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10 Aug 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.1%
Westerlo
25.0%
Draw
61.9%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63

Westerlo

vs
1.66

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.2%
0-2
14.0%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
1-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).