Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Wigan
28.2%
Draw
34.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Wigan
vs
0.99
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).