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10 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.3%
Dender
25.5%
Draw
41.2%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Dender

vs
1.54

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).