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14 Oct 2022 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Elfsborg
26.5%
Draw
31.5%
Degerfors

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Elfsborg

vs
1.38

Degerfors

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).