Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Frosinone
22.9%
Draw
13.1%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Frosinone
vs
0.78
Padova
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).