Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Tamworth
27.0%
Draw
30.9%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Tamworth
vs
1.28
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).