Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Empoli
27.4%
Draw
49.0%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Empoli
vs
1.59
Lecce
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).