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HHT: 00CSV

02 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
Karlsruhe
23.4%
Draw
20.8%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Karlsruhe

vs
1.16

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).